Staking

You may optionally stake NMR on your model to earn or burn based on your scores. Staking means locking up your NMR during the scoring period and giving Numerai permission to add payouts to or burn from the NMR at stake. Neutral churn does not determine whether your stake is accepted.

Signals uses legacy continuous staking. This page describes its payouts and payout factor. For Atomic Blockchain Staking on Numerai and Crypto, see the main staking documentation.

INFO

It is important to note that the opportunity to stake your signal is not an offer by Numerai to participate in an investment contract, a security, a swap based on the return of any financial assets, an interest in Numerai’s hedge fund, or in Numerai itself or any fees we earn. Payouts will be made at our discretion, based on a blackbox target that will not be disclosed to users. Fundamentally, Numerai Signals is a service offered by Numerai that allows users to assess the value of their signals, using NMR staking as a way to validate “real” signals. In return, Numerai uses the staked signals and related data in the Numerai hedge fund. Users with different expectations should not stake signals.

Please read our Terms of Service for further information.

Payouts

Payouts are a function of your stake value and weighted score. A positive weighted score earns NMR; a negative weighted score burns a portion of your stake. Multipliers are score weights, not guaranteed returns or annual yields.

Current payouts

Signals currently pays on 0.3 × Alpha + 0.8 × MPC using legacy continuous staking:

weighted_score = 0.3 * alpha + 0.8 * mpc
payout = stake * clip(payout_factor * weighted_score, -0.035, 0.035)

The payout factor scales the combined weighted score before clipping the result to ±3.5% of the round's stake.

stake is your model's stake at the close of the round, also called its value at-risk. It excludes unstaked wallet NMR and is zero if you have no valid submission for the round.

Planned Jupiter payouts — not active

The planned payout weights are 0.5 × NCORR + 2 × NMMC, replacing Alpha and MPC. NCORR and NMMC do not currently determine payouts. The payout change is planned to start with round 1363, opening September 25, 2026.

After activation, the planned weighted score would replace weighted_score in the formula above:

weighted_score = 0.5 * ncorr + 2 * nmmc  # Planned, not active

The existing payout factor, Signals stake threshold of 36,000 NMR, and ±3.5% clip remain unchanged. This announcement does not activate V3 Atomic Blockchain Staking. The neutral-churn penalty starts with round 1363 and is separate from these score weights.

NCORR and NMMC remain Jupiter 60D2L scores, with 60 score days plus returns and data lags. The planned change does not shorten score resolution or settlement. Rounds before round 1363 keep their original payout scores and parameters, even if they resolve after it. Historical NCORR/NMMC scores do not change historical payouts.

Neutral-churn payout penalty (from round 1363)

For Signals round 1363, opening September 25, 2026, and later rounds, positive payouts are multiplied by a fraction based on mean neutral churn after the payout factor and clipping. Zero payouts and burns are unchanged. Earlier rounds keep their original payouts even when they resolve after round 1363. This penalty does not change Jupiter payout-score weights or the amount staked.

The Payout Factor

The payout_factor is a dynamic value that scales inversely with total NMR staked based on the stake_threshold.

payout_factor = min(1, stake_threshold / total_at_risk)

Tournament	Stake Threshold
Numerai	72000
Signals	36000
Crypto	10000

Here is an example of what the Numerai payout factor looks like as stake grows: